Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 20:00 •
Estadio Mâs Monumental
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.01)
1.86 (league 0.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.7% | 20.3% | 32.4% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.8%
2 - 2
7.2%
1 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Boca Juniors | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| River Plate | 0 | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | River Plate | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 67% |
| Defense | 89% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | River Plate | Boca Juniors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Wins | 80% | 50% | 62% | 38% | 40% | 38% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 15% | 63% | 20% | 46% |
| Loses | 20% | 25% | 23% | 0% | 40% | 15% |
River PlateWWDLLLWDWWWWW
Boca JuniorsWLWLDDDWDDWWD
League goals
| Metric | River Plate | Boca Juniors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 8 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | River Plate | Boca Juniors | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 46% | 85% | 46% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 8% | 23% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 8% | 8% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | River Plate | Boca Juniors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | River Plate | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | River Plate | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 1-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | River Plate | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 46% | 54% |
| Total | 58.8% | 41.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Dafabet
Away3.63 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.79 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.67 @ Bet365
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League standings
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