Al Mesaimeer vs Al Waab

Second Division — Qatar

Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 16:00 • Venue TBA

Not Started

Al Mesaimeer

—

Al Waab

Expected Goals

1.29 (league 1.49) 1.20 (league 1.34)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
38.5%	27.1%	34.1%

best score tips

1 - 1

12.8%

1 - 0

10.7%

0 - 1

9.9%

Score & goals probability table

		Al Waab
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Al Mesaimeer	0	8.3%	9.9%	6.0%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
	1	10.7%	12.8%	7.7%	3.1%	0.9%	0.2%
	2	6.9%	8.3%	5.0%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%
	3	3.0%	3.6%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%
	4	1.0%	1.2%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Al Mesaimeer -20.9, Al Waab -2.8.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Al Mesaimeer Elo 1461.9 · -20.9

Al Waab Elo 1482.4 · -2.8

Elo gapAl Mesaimeer +15

Home / draw / away37% / 28% / 35%

Expected home share52%

Combined Elo2944.3

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2944.3

Elo home share 52%

Match tone Good Watch

Metric	Al Mesaimeer	Al Waab
Overall Elo	1461.9	1482.4
Form Elo	1452.7	1465.2
Home / Away Elo	1496.6	1531.2
Attack Elo	1504.4	1479.7
Defense Elo	1453.2	1499.9
Last 5 Elo change	-20.9	-2.8

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Al Mesaimeer last-5 Elo change: -20.9; Al Waab last-5 Elo change: -2.8.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Al Mesaimeer	Al Waab
Played	5	5
Form	27%	47%
Attack	17%	44%
Defense	61%	61%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	8 \| 1.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	7 \| 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%

FT probability

2.5+

56%

FT probability

3.5+

40%

FT probability

BTTS

71%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Al Mesaimeer			Al Waab
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	5	7	12	7	5	12
Wins	40%	29%	33%	0%	40%	17%
Draws	40%	0%	17%	14%	40%	25%
Loses	20%	71%	50%	86%	20%	58%

Al MesaimeerLWLDLWWDLWLL

Al WaabLLDLDLLWLLWD

League goals

Metric	Al Mesaimeer			Al Waab
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	8	7	15	6	8	14
GF avg	1.6	1.0	1.3	0.9	1.6	1.2
GA total	5	13	18	16	6	22
GA avg	1.0	1.9	1.5	2.3	1.2	1.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Al Mesaimeer		Al Waab
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	67%	75%	67%	92%
1.5	33%	67%	42%	58%
2.5	17%	8%	8%	25%
3.5	8%	0%	0%	8%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Al Mesaimeer			Al Waab
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	1	3	0	1	1
Failed to score	1	3	4	3	1	4

Penalties

Metric	Al Mesaimeer	Al Waab
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Al Mesaimeer	Al Waab
Wins	2	1
Draws	1	1
Losses	1	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	2-4	—	0-2
Biggest losses	1-2	3-0	2-4	1-0
Goals For	3	4	2	3
Goals Against	2	3	4	3

Model comparison

Metric	Al Mesaimeer	Al Waab
Form	36%	64%
Att	27%	73%
Def	50%	50%
Poisson Distribution	56%	44%
H2h	62%	38%
Goals	53%	47%
Total	47.3%	52.7%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Dafabet

Draw3.55 @ Unibet

Away3.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Under 2.52.28 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Betano

No2.45 @ Unibet

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Al Mesaimeer vs Al Waab

Metric	Al Mesaimeer	Al Waab
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0