League One
— England
Tue, Apr 21 2026 • 18:45 •
Aesseal New York Stadium
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.45)
1.47 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.1% | 26.1% | 46.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 1
11.7%
1 - 2
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Luton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rotherham | 0 | 7.9% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rotherham | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Attack | 27% | 91% |
| Defense | 36% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rotherham | Luton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 21 | 22 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
| Wins | 29% | 18% | 23% | 55% | 29% | 42% |
| Draws | 38% | 9% | 23% | 27% | 24% | 26% |
| Loses | 33% | 73% | 53% | 18% | 48% | 33% |
RotherhamWLLDLWLLLDWWWDWDDDLLLLLLLDWWLLLLWDLDLLDLLLW
LutonWWLWLWLLWDLLWWDLWDDDLWWLWDLLWWLLDDLDWWDWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Rotherham | Luton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 15 | 38 | 35 | 26 | 61 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 29 | 36 | 65 | 23 | 30 | 53 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rotherham | Luton | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 77% | 79% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 44% | 47% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 23% | 14% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 2% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rotherham | Luton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 13 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rotherham | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rotherham | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rotherham | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 27% | 73% |
| Att | 23% | 77% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 29.7% | 70.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home6.00 @ Bet365
Draw4.50 @ Dafabet
Away1.55 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ Betfair
No2.10 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…