Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 03:05 •
Estadio BBVA
Expected Goals
2.48 (league 1.52)
0.84 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1% | 16.1% | 10.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.1%
2 - 1
9.3%
3 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Puebla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Monterrey | 0 | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.1% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.2% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Monterrey | Puebla |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 13% |
| Attack | 38% | 13% |
| Defense | 38% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Monterrey | Puebla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 18 | 36 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 42% | 25% | 13% | 19% |
| Draws | 22% | 17% | 19% | 25% | 19% | 22% |
| Loses | 28% | 50% | 39% | 50% | 69% | 59% |
MonterreyLWWWWWWWDLWDDWLDLWLWLLWWDLWLLWLDLLDL
PueblaLLWLLDLLLDLLWLDLWLWLDDLLWWLDLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Monterrey | Puebla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 32 | 27 | 59 | 19 | 13 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 22 | 32 | 54 | 30 | 34 | 64 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Monterrey | Puebla | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 72% | 56% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 28% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 17% | 9% | 34% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 6% | 6% | 16% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Monterrey | Puebla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Monterrey | Puebla |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Monterrey | Puebla |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-5 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 6-2 | 0-4 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Monterrey | Puebla |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 66.2% | 33.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.57 @ 10Bet
Draw4.60 @ Unibet
Away6.25 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.64 @ 1xBet
No2.25 @ BetVictor
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League standings
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