Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.35) 1.05 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.0% 31.3% 38.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.1%
0 - 0
14.5%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Vélez Sársfield Res.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ferro 2 0 14.5% 15.1% 7.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.8% 13.4% 7.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.7% 6.0% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFerro 2Vélez Sársfield Res.
Played55
Form47%100%
Attack67%100%
Defense33%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.214 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ferro 2 Vélez Sársfield Res.
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%20%33%100%50%78%
Draws25%20%22%0%25%11%
Loses25%60%44%0%25%11%
Ferro 2LWLDLWWLD
Vélez Sársfield Res.WDWLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Ferro 2 Vélez Sársfield Res.
HATHAT
GF total63916521
GF avg1.50.61.03.21.32.3
GA total3912235
GA avg0.81.81.30.40.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFerro 2Vélez Sársfield Res.
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%67%89%44%
1.522%44%78%11%
2.522%11%44%0%
3.50%11%22%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFerro 2Vélez Sársfield Res.
HATHAT
Clean sheets213325
Failed to score224011

Penalties

MetricFerro 2Vélez Sársfield Res.
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricFerro 2Vélez Sársfield Res.
Wins21
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-14-00-2
Biggest losses0-24-01-0
Goals For3142
Goals Against2412

Model comparison

MetricFerro 2Vélez Sársfield Res.
Form32%68%
Att30%70%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total36.7%63.3%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.69 @ 1xBet
Draw3.66 @ Pinnacle
Away1.71 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.78 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Marathonbet
No1.67 @ William Hill
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League standings

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