Trepça Mitrovicë vs Vjosa

Liga E Pare — Kosovo

Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA

Not Started

home	draw	away
65.9%	13.5%	11.0%

		Vjosa
Trepça Mitrovicë	0	1.4%	1.6%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
1	4.3%	5.1%	3.0%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
2	6.6%	7.8%	4.6%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%
3	6.9%	8.1%	4.8%	1.9%	0.6%	0.1%
4	5.3%	6.3%	3.7%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
5	3.3%	3.9%	2.3%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Away lean

Vjosa carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 25 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Trepça Mitrovicë -41.4, Vjosa -29.9.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone

Trepça Mitrovicë Elo 1413.1 · -41.4

Vjosa Elo 1473.3 · -29.9

Elo gapVjosa +25

Home / draw / away34% / 27% / 39%

Expected home share46%

Combined Elo2886.4

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Away lean

Confidence band Lean confidence

Upset risk Medium-high

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2886.4

Elo home share 46%

Match tone Good Watch

Metric	Trepça Mitrovicë	Vjosa
Overall Elo	1413.1	1473.3
Form Elo	1384.1	1470
Home / Away Elo	1454.4	1475.5
Attack Elo	1461.7	1455.9
Defense Elo	1401.7	1473.7
Last 5 Elo change	-41.4	-29.9

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Trepça Mitrovicë last-5 Elo change: -41.4; Vjosa last-5 Elo change: -29.9.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Trepça Mitrovicë	Vjosa
Played	5	5
Form	0%	20%
Attack	64%	55%
Defense	0%	0%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	6 \| 1.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	14 \| 2.8	11 \| 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%

FT probability

2.5+

65%

FT probability

3.5+

46%

FT probability

BTTS

71%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Trepça Mitrovicë			Vjosa
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	14	15	29	15	14	29
Wins	29%	27%	28%	33%	14%	24%
Draws	29%	20%	24%	40%	14%	28%
Loses	43%	53%	48%	27%	71%	48%

Trepça MitrovicëWWDDLWWLDLDWWDLDLWWLLLDLLLLLL

VjosaLLLDLLWLLDDWLLLDDWLWLWWWDLDLD

League goals

Metric	Trepça Mitrovicë			Vjosa
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	25	21	46	22	10	32
GF avg	1.8	1.4	1.6	1.5	0.7	1.1
GA total	24	27	51	19	34	53
GA avg	1.7	1.8	1.8	1.3	2.4	1.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Trepça Mitrovicë		Vjosa
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	69%	83%	72%	76%
1.5	41%	62%	28%	48%
2.5	28%	17%	10%	34%
3.5	10%	10%	0%	10%
4.5	3%	3%	0%	7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Trepça Mitrovicë			Vjosa
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	2	5	3	4	7
Failed to score	5	4	9	3	5	8

Penalties

Metric	Trepça Mitrovicë	Vjosa
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Trepça Mitrovicë	Vjosa
Wins	2	3
Draws	2	2
Losses	3	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	7-1	0-3	3-0	0-1
Biggest losses	2-5	4-1	0-3	7-0
Goals For	7	3	3	2
Goals Against	5	4	3	7

Model comparison

Metric	Trepça Mitrovicë	Vjosa
Form	0%	100%
Att	54%	46%
Def	44%	56%
Poisson Distribution	71%	29%
H2h	100%	0%
Goals	67%	33%
Total	59.0%	41.0%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Trepça Mitrovicë vs Vjosa

Metric	Trepça Mitrovicë	Vjosa
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Trepça Mitrovicë vs Vjosa