Thu, Apr 23 2026 • 23:00 • Estadio Norberto Tomaghello
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.00) 1.55 (league 0.75)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.2% 25.5% 54.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.8%
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 2
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Boca Juniors
0 1 2 3 4 5
Defensa Y Justicia 0 9.6% 14.8% 11.5% 5.9% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.6% 11.8% 9.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 3.0% 4.7% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDefensa Y JusticiaBoca Juniors
Played55
Form40%73%
Attack90%60%
Defense10%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Defensa Y Justicia Boca Juniors
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins14%43%29%38%50%43%
Draws71%29%50%63%17%43%
Loses14%29%21%0%33%14%
Defensa Y JusticiaDWDWDDDDDWWLLL
Boca JuniorsWLWLDDDWDDWWDW

League goals

Metric Defensa Y Justicia Boca Juniors
HATHAT
GF total710178816
GF avg1.01.41.21.01.31.1
GA total6915358
GA avg0.91.31.10.40.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDefensa Y JusticiaBoca Juniors
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%64%86%43%
1.521%36%21%14%
2.514%7%7%0%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDefensa Y JusticiaBoca Juniors
HATHAT
Clean sheets235538
Failed to score134202

Penalties

MetricDefensa Y JusticiaBoca Juniors
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricDefensa Y JusticiaBoca Juniors
Wins22
Draws53
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-52-00-3
Biggest losses1-23-1—2-1
Goals For2523
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricDefensa Y JusticiaBoca Juniors
Form35%65%
Att60%40%
Def18%82%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h62%38%
Goals42%58%
Total42.0%58.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ BetVictor
Draw3.00 @ BetVictor
Away2.80 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.79 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ 888Sport

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ 10Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill
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League standings

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