Capital Territory NPL — Australia
Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 09:30 • Jerrabomberra Regional Sports Complex
Not Started

Queanbeyan City

—

Belconnen United

Expected Goals
1.03 (league 2.19) 0.54 (league 1.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.9% 34.2% 18.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.5%
0 - 0
21.0%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Belconnen United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Queanbeyan City 0 21.0% 11.2% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.5% 11.5% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.1% 5.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away edge

Belconnen United carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 65 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Queanbeyan City -4.0, Belconnen United -2.8.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Queanbeyan City Elo 1462 · -4.0
vs
Belconnen United Elo 1561.5 · -2.8
Elo gapBelconnen United +65
Home / draw / away32% / 23% / 45%
Expected home share41%
Combined Elo3023.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3023.5
Elo home share 41%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Queanbeyan City Belconnen United
Overall Elo14621561.5
Form Elo1447.21561.7
Home / Away Elo1481.21519.5
Attack Elo1420.31653.4
Defense Elo1477.31552.7
Last 5 Elo change-4.0-2.8

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Queanbeyan City last-5 Elo change: -4.0; Belconnen United last-5 Elo change: -2.8.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQueanbeyan CityBelconnen United
Played33
Form33%44%
Attack21%32%
Defense79%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.36 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.34 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Queanbeyan City Belconnen United
HATHAT
Played213123
Wins50%0%33%100%0%33%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%33%
Loses50%100%67%0%50%33%
Queanbeyan CityWLL
Belconnen UnitedDLW

League goals

Metric Queanbeyan City Belconnen United
HATHAT
GF total314426
GF avg1.51.01.34.01.02.0
GA total224134
GA avg1.02.01.31.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQueanbeyan CityBelconnen United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%100%
1.533%67%33%33%
2.533%0%33%0%
3.50%0%33%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQueanbeyan CityBelconnen United
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricQueanbeyan CityBelconnen United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricQueanbeyan CityBelconnen United
Wins10
Draws01
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—4-1—
Biggest losses0-22-1—2-1
Goals For3141
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricQueanbeyan CityBelconnen United
Form43%57%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h88%13%
Goals100%0%
Total57.6%42.6%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ BetVictor
Draw4.00 @ Betfair
Away3.15 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.37 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.35 @ Betano
No3.05 @ 1xBet
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League standings

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