Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.04)
0.79 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.1% | 29.4% | 23.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.3%
0 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Bidco United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Posta Rangers FC | 0 | 13.0% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.3% | 12.8% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.2% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Posta Rangers FC carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 81 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Posta Rangers FC -8.6, Bidco United -26.2.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Posta Rangers FC
vs
Bidco United
Elo gapPosta Rangers FC +81
Home / draw / away48% / 21% / 31%
Expected home share61%
Combined Elo2863.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2863.7
Elo home share
61%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Posta Rangers FC | Bidco United |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1455 | 1408.7 |
| Form Elo | 1441.3 | 1392.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1475.6 | 1469.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1411.7 | 1343.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1506.3 | 1527.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -8.6 | -26.2 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Posta Rangers FC last-5 Elo change: -8.6; Bidco United last-5 Elo change: -26.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Posta Rangers FC | Bidco United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 13% |
| Attack | 24% | 6% |
| Defense | 59% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Posta Rangers FC | Bidco United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 21% | 29% | 25% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Draws | 50% | 21% | 36% | 36% | 36% | 36% |
| Loses | 29% | 50% | 39% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
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League goals
| Metric | Posta Rangers FC | Bidco United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 17 | 18 | 35 | 15 | 18 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Posta Rangers FC | Bidco United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 54% | 79% | 46% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 36% | 11% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Posta Rangers FC | Bidco United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
Penalties
| Metric | Posta Rangers FC | Bidco United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Posta Rangers FC | Bidco United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Posta Rangers FC | Bidco United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 80% | 20% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 65.7% | 34.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.30 @ Dafabet
Draw2.90 @ Dafabet
Away3.30 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.25 @ Betfair
No1.60 @ Betfair
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League standings
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