Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 14:00 • Metallurg Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.45) 12.97 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.0% 0.0% 1.1%
best score tips
0 - 5
0.5%
1 - 5
0.2%
0 - 4
0.2%
Score & goals probability table
CSKA Moskva W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Krylya Sovetov W 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5%
1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away strong edge

CSKA Moskva W carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 130 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Krylya Sovetov W -6.5, CSKA Moskva W +24.7.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Krylya Sovetov W Elo 1515.4 · -6.5
vs
CSKA Moskva W Elo 1680.7 · +24.7
Elo gapCSKA Moskva W +130
Home / draw / away26% / 18% / 56%
Expected home share32%
Combined Elo3196.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3196.1
Elo home share 32%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Krylya Sovetov W CSKA Moskva W
Overall Elo1515.41680.7
Form Elo1503.61708
Home / Away Elo1531.11582
Attack Elo1417.41754.7
Defense Elo1507.51685.8
Last 5 Elo change-6.5+24.7

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Krylya Sovetov W last-5 Elo change: -6.5; CSKA Moskva W last-5 Elo change: +24.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKrylya Sovetov WCSKA Moskva W
Played44
Form50%100%
Attack25%81%
Defense38%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 113 | 3.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 2.51 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

8.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-1
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Krylya Sovetov W CSKA Moskva W
HATHAT
Played134314
Wins100%33%50%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%67%50%0%0%0%
Krylya Sovetov WWLWL
CSKA Moskva WWWWW

League goals

Metric Krylya Sovetov W CSKA Moskva W
HATHAT
GF total2247613
GF avg2.00.71.02.36.03.3
GA total01010101
GA avg0.03.32.50.30.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKrylya Sovetov WCSKA Moskva W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%100%25%
1.525%50%100%0%
2.50%50%50%0%
3.50%50%25%0%
4.50%50%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKrylya Sovetov WCSKA Moskva W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricKrylya Sovetov WCSKA Moskva W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricKrylya Sovetov WCSKA Moskva W
Wins14
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-13-00-6
Biggest losses—5-0——
Goals For2136
Goals Against0510

Model comparison

MetricKrylya Sovetov WCSKA Moskva W
Form33%67%
Att24%76%
Def9%91%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h7%93%
Goals0%100%
Total18.3%81.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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