Expected Goals
1.07 (league 2.07)
3.45 (league 1.64)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5% | 10.7% | 68.1% |
best score tips
1 - 3
8.0%
0 - 3
7.5%
1 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Univer Comrat | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Victoria Bardar | 0 | 1.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Univer Comrat carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 83 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Victoria Bardar -15.8, Univer Comrat +16.5.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Victoria Bardar
vs
Univer Comrat
Elo gapUniver Comrat +83
Home / draw / away30% / 21% / 49%
Expected home share38%
Combined Elo2878.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2878.5
Elo home share
38%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Victoria Bardar | Univer Comrat |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1380.2 | 1498.3 |
| Form Elo | 1378.7 | 1507.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1438 | 1514.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1445 | 1488.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1170.9 | 1471.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -15.8 | +16.5 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Victoria Bardar last-5 Elo change: -15.8; Univer Comrat last-5 Elo change: +16.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Victoria Bardar | Univer Comrat |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 37% | 53% |
| Defense | 32% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
79%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Victoria Bardar | Univer Comrat | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 12 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 21 |
| Wins | 11% | 25% | 19% | 58% | 56% | 57% |
| Draws | 22% | 0% | 10% | 8% | 0% | 5% |
| Loses | 67% | 75% | 71% | 33% | 44% | 38% |
Victoria BardarLWLLLLLLLDLLLLWWLLDLW
Univer ComratWWWWLWWLLLWWLWLLLWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Victoria Bardar | Univer Comrat | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 14 | 26 | 24 | 19 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 24 | 39 | 63 | 21 | 15 | 36 |
| GA avg | 2.7 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Victoria Bardar | Univer Comrat | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 95% | 86% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 76% | 62% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 57% | 29% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 29% | 19% | 19% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 24% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Victoria Bardar | Univer Comrat | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Victoria Bardar | Univer Comrat |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Victoria Bardar | Univer Comrat |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 3-4 | 4-1 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | 2-6 | 7-0 | 0-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Victoria Bardar | Univer Comrat |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 41% | 59% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 34.0% | 66.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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