King's Cup
— Bahrain
Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 14:20 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
3.53 (league 2.10)
0.76 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.6% | 8.4% | 4.4% |
best score tips
3 - 0
10.0%
4 - 0
8.8%
2 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Al Riffa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Muharraq | 0 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.8% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Muharraq carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 77 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Muharraq +18.1, Al Riffa +8.0.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Muharraq
vs
Al Riffa
Elo gapMuharraq +77
Home / draw / away48% / 21% / 31%
Expected home share61%
Combined Elo3263.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3263.2
Elo home share
61%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Muharraq | Al Riffa |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1652.7 | 1610.5 |
| Form Elo | 1678.6 | 1625.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1550.2 | 1585.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1744.1 | 1649.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1675.4 | 1553.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +18.1 | +8.0 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Muharraq last-5 Elo change: +18.1; Al Riffa last-5 Elo change: +8.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Muharraq | Al Riffa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 100% | 100% |
| Attack | 50% | 50% |
| Defense | 95% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 3.7 | 11 | 3.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 6 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
7.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
69%
FT probability
BTTS
86%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Muharraq | Al Riffa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | — | 100% | — | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | — | 0% | — | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | — | 0% | — | 0% | 0% |
MuharraqWWW
Al RiffaWWW
League goals
| Metric | Muharraq | Al Riffa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 11 |
| GF avg | 3.7 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Muharraq | Al Riffa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 33% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 100% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 0% | 67% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Muharraq | Al Riffa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Muharraq | Al Riffa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 9 | 81.82% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 18.18% |
| Total | 0 | 11 |
Streaks
| Metric | Muharraq | Al Riffa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | — | — | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Muharraq | Al Riffa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 86% | 14% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 54.5% | 45.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…