2. Division
— Denmark
Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 17:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.37 (league 1.48)
1.33 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.2% | 19.0% | 20.1% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 1
7.8%
3 - 1
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Naestved | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AB Copenhagen | 0 | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
AB Copenhagen carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 171 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: AB Copenhagen -12.0, Naestved +7.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
AB Copenhagen
vs
Naestved
Elo gapAB Copenhagen +171
Home / draw / away60% / 18% / 22%
Expected home share73%
Combined Elo3184.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3184.2
Elo home share
73%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | AB Copenhagen | Naestved |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1660.2 | 1524 |
| Form Elo | 1665.4 | 1535.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1561.2 | 1512.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1836.3 | 1478.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1622.4 | 1460.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -12.0 | +7.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. AB Copenhagen last-5 Elo change: -12.0; Naestved last-5 Elo change: +7.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AB Copenhagen | Naestved |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 53% |
| Attack | 89% | 56% |
| Defense | 56% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AB Copenhagen | Naestved | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 67% | 75% | 71% | 42% | 67% | 54% |
| Draws | 8% | 8% | 8% | 42% | 8% | 25% |
| Loses | 25% | 17% | 21% | 17% | 25% | 21% |
AB CopenhagenLWWLWWLWWWWWWLWWWWWWDDWL
NaestvedWLWDWLLWWWWLWWWDWDDDWWLD
League goals
| Metric | AB Copenhagen | Naestved | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 32 | 29 | 61 | 14 | 21 | 35 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 11 | 13 | 24 | 11 | 15 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AB Copenhagen | Naestved | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 63% | 75% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 25% | 54% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 8% | 17% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AB Copenhagen | Naestved | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | AB Copenhagen | Naestved |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | AB Copenhagen | Naestved |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-5 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AB Copenhagen | Naestved |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 77% | 23% |
| Total | 66.7% | 33.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.70 @ Betano
Draw4.00 @ Pinnacle
Away4.85 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ Betfair
No2.05 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.74 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
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