Reserve Pro League — Belgium
Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

RFC de Liege U21

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RFC Seraing Reserve U21

Expected Goals
1.10 (league 2.16) 2.84 (league 1.69)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.8% 14.8% 66.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.6%
1 - 3
8.2%
0 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
RFC Seraing Reserve U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
RFC de Liege U21 0 1.9% 5.4% 7.6% 7.3% 5.2% 3.0%
1 2.1% 6.0% 8.6% 8.2% 5.8% 3.3%
2 1.2% 3.4% 4.8% 4.6% 3.3% 1.9%
3 0.4% 1.3% 1.8% 1.7% 1.2% 0.7%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away strong edge

RFC Seraing Reserve U21 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 168 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: RFC de Liege U21 -32.5, RFC Seraing Reserve U21 -18.6.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
RFC de Liege U21 Elo 1331.7 · -32.5
vs
RFC Seraing Reserve U21 Elo 1534.4 · -18.6
Elo gapRFC Seraing Reserve U21 +168
Home / draw / away23% / 18% / 59%
Expected home share28%
Combined Elo2866.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2866.1
Elo home share 28%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric RFC de Liege U21 RFC Seraing Reserve U21
Overall Elo1331.71534.4
Form Elo1297.41529.8
Home / Away Elo1439.21502.5
Attack Elo1456.11693.7
Defense Elo1057.61490.1
Last 5 Elo change-32.5-18.6

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. RFC de Liege U21 last-5 Elo change: -32.5; RFC Seraing Reserve U21 last-5 Elo change: -18.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRFC de Liege U21RFC Seraing Reserve U21
Played55
Form0%40%
Attack15%35%
Defense56%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 310 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

60%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric RFC de Liege U21 RFC Seraing Reserve U21
HATHAT
Played101121121123
Wins20%9%14%58%36%48%
Draws0%0%0%17%18%17%
Loses80%91%86%25%45%35%
RFC de Liege U21WLWLWLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL
RFC Seraing Reserve U21DLLWLDWWWLWWWLWWDDWLLLW

League goals

Metric RFC de Liege U21 RFC Seraing Reserve U21
HATHAT
GF total141226391756
GF avg1.41.11.23.31.52.4
GA total324880191938
GA avg3.24.43.81.61.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRFC de Liege U21RFC Seraing Reserve U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%100%87%78%
1.538%86%65%43%
2.519%71%43%30%
3.55%52%17%13%
4.50%29%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRFC de Liege U21RFC Seraing Reserve U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets000325
Failed to score358123

Penalties

MetricRFC de Liege U21RFC Seraing Reserve U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricRFC de Liege U21RFC Seraing Reserve U21
Wins13
Draws02
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-29-11-3
Biggest losses0-79-10-34-1
Goals For4393
Goals Against7944

Model comparison

MetricRFC de Liege U21RFC Seraing Reserve U21
Form0%100%
Att29%71%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h0%100%
Goals10%90%
Total26.5%73.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • RFC de Liege U21 vs RFC Seraing Reserve U21