Division Intermedia — Paraguay
Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 22:30 • Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni
Match Finished

SOL DE America

0 - 0

Paraguari AC

Expected Goals
2.34 (league 1.28) 0.99 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.3% 18.1% 14.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Paraguari AC
0 1 2 3 4 5
SOL DE America 0 3.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.4% 8.3% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.7% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 7.6% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.5% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home lean

SOL DE America carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 42 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: SOL DE America -4.1, Paraguari AC +11.2.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
SOL DE America Elo 1517.7 · -4.1
vs
Paraguari AC Elo 1511.2 · +11.2
Elo gapSOL DE America +42
Home / draw / away42% / 25% / 33%
Expected home share56%
Combined Elo3028.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3028.9
Elo home share 56%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric SOL DE America Paraguari AC
Overall Elo1517.71511.2
Form Elo1509.51561.6
Home / Away Elo1513.11500
Attack Elo1504.31515.8
Defense Elo1537.31511.3
Last 5 Elo change-4.1+11.2

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. SOL DE America last-5 Elo change: -4.1; Paraguari AC last-5 Elo change: +11.2.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSOL DE AmericaParaguari AC
Played33
Form22%33%
Attack20%40%
Defense70%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.74 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 14 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SOL DE America Paraguari AC
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins0%0%0%50%0%33%
Draws100%0%67%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%33%50%100%67%
SOL DE AmericaDLD
Paraguari ACWLL

League goals

Metric SOL DE America Paraguari AC
HATHAT
GF total202314
GF avg1.00.00.71.51.01.3
GA total213134
GA avg1.01.01.00.53.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSOL DE AmericaParaguari AC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%67%67%
1.50%0%33%33%
2.50%0%33%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSOL DE AmericaParaguari AC
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricSOL DE AmericaParaguari AC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSOL DE AmericaParaguari AC
Wins01
Draws10
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-0—
Biggest losses—1-00-13-1
Goals For1031
Goals Against1113

Model comparison

MetricSOL DE AmericaParaguari AC
Form40%60%
Att33%67%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total51.0%49.0%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.30 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.44 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ William Hill
No1.73 @ Betfair
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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • SOL DE America vs Paraguari AC