Fujieda MYFC vs Omiya Ardija

J2/J3 League — Japan

Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 05:00 • Fujieda soccer stadium

Not Started

Fujieda MYFC

—

Omiya Ardija

Expected Goals

1.52 (league 1.32) 2.25 (league 1.20)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
25.2%	20.1%	51.4%

best score tips

1 - 2

8.9%

1 - 1

7.9%

2 - 2

6.7%

Score & goals probability table

		Omiya Ardija
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Fujieda MYFC	0	2.3%	5.2%	5.8%	4.4%	2.5%	1.1%
	1	3.5%	7.9%	8.9%	6.7%	3.7%	1.7%
	2	2.7%	6.0%	6.7%	5.1%	2.8%	1.3%
	3	1.3%	3.0%	3.4%	2.6%	1.4%	0.6%
	4	0.5%	1.2%	1.3%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%
	5	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Fujieda MYFC +11.2, Omiya Ardija -15.5.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Fujieda MYFC Elo 1466 · +11.2

Omiya Ardija Elo 1518.2 · -15.5

Elo gapOmiya Ardija +17

Home / draw / away35% / 28% / 37%

Expected home share48%

Combined Elo2984.2

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2984.2

Elo home share 48%

Match tone Upset Watch

Metric	Fujieda MYFC	Omiya Ardija
Overall Elo	1466	1518.2
Form Elo	1489.6	1510.9
Home / Away Elo	1474.1	1526.3
Attack Elo	1465.5	1650.5
Defense Elo	1461.2	1506.4
Last 5 Elo change	+11.2	-15.5

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Fujieda MYFC last-5 Elo change: +11.2; Omiya Ardija last-5 Elo change: -15.5.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Fujieda MYFC	Omiya Ardija
Played	5	5
Form	60%	40%
Attack	62%	77%
Defense	38%	31%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	10 \| 2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	9 \| 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%

FT probability

2.5+

65%

FT probability

3.5+

46%

FT probability

BTTS

83%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-2

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Fujieda MYFC			Omiya Ardija
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	6	5	11	6	5	11
Wins	33%	100%	64%	67%	40%	55%
Draws	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Loses	67%	0%	36%	33%	60%	45%

Fujieda MYFCLWLWWWWLLWW

Omiya ArdijaWWWWLLWLWLL

League goals

Metric	Fujieda MYFC			Omiya Ardija
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	6	11	17	16	9	25
GF avg	1.0	2.2	1.5	2.7	1.8	2.3
GA total	9	6	15	7	10	17
GA avg	1.5	1.2	1.4	1.2	2.0	1.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Fujieda MYFC		Omiya Ardija
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	82%	82%	100%	82%
1.5	55%	45%	55%	55%
2.5	9%	9%	36%	9%
3.5	9%	0%	18%	9%
4.5	0%	0%	9%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Fujieda MYFC			Omiya Ardija
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	1	2	2	0	2
Failed to score	2	0	2	0	0	0

Penalties

Metric	Fujieda MYFC	Omiya Ardija
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	1

Streaks

Metric	Fujieda MYFC	Omiya Ardija
Wins	4	4
Draws	0	0
Losses	2	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-0	3-4	6-0	1-4
Biggest losses	0-2	—	1-2	4-1
Goals For	2	4	6	4
Goals Against	2	3	2	4

Model comparison

Metric	Fujieda MYFC	Omiya Ardija
Form	60%	40%
Att	44%	56%
Def	53%	47%
Poisson Distribution	40%	60%
H2h	40%	60%
Goals	47%	53%
Total	47.3%	52.7%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Fujieda MYFC vs Omiya Ardija

Metric	Fujieda MYFC	Omiya Ardija
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	1