Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 07:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.95)
0.30 (league 1.71)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.4% | 34.8% | 10.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
27.1%
0 - 0
25.9%
2 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
| SC Wanderers | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ipswich | 0 | 25.7% | 7.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.1% | 8.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.3% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Ipswich carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 158 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Ipswich +26.7, SC Wanderers +17.7.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Ipswich
vs
SC Wanderers
Elo gapIpswich +158
Home / draw / away58% / 18% / 24%
Expected home share71%
Combined Elo2898.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2898.8
Elo home share
71%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Ipswich | SC Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1510.7 | 1388.1 |
| Form Elo | 1535.9 | 1410.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1497.7 | 1453.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1457.5 | 1436.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1565.2 | 1248.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +26.7 | +17.7 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Ipswich last-5 Elo change: +26.7; SC Wanderers last-5 Elo change: +17.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ipswich | SC Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 37% | 47% |
| Defense | 84% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ipswich | SC Wanderers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 60% | 67% | 63% | 20% | 67% | 38% |
| Draws | 20% | 0% | 13% | 60% | 0% | 38% |
| Loses | 20% | 33% | 25% | 20% | 33% | 25% |
IpswichLWWLDWWW
SC WanderersDDWDWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Ipswich | SC Wanderers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ipswich | SC Wanderers | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 63% | 88% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 13% | 38% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ipswich | SC Wanderers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ipswich | SC Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ipswich | SC Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 5-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ipswich | SC Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 63.8% | 36.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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