Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 07:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.75) 1.04 (league 1.63)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.6% 33.0% 43.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.6%
0 - 0
18.0%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Western Knights
0 1 2 3 4 5
Olympic Kingsway 0 18.0% 18.6% 9.7% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.2% 12.7% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.2% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Olympic Kingsway carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 159 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Olympic Kingsway -0.1, Western Knights +12.1.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Olympic Kingsway Elo 1626.5 · -0.1
vs
Western Knights Elo 1503 · +12.1
Elo gapOlympic Kingsway +159
Home / draw / away58% / 18% / 24%
Expected home share71%
Combined Elo3129.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3129.5
Elo home share 71%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Olympic Kingsway Western Knights
Overall Elo1626.51503
Form Elo1626.11525.4
Home / Away Elo1553.11492.5
Attack Elo16581578.4
Defense Elo1600.61424.2
Last 5 Elo change-0.1+12.1

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Olympic Kingsway last-5 Elo change: -0.1; Western Knights last-5 Elo change: +12.1.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOlympic KingswayWestern Knights
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack42%53%
Defense74%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Olympic Kingsway Western Knights
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%75%57%75%33%57%
Draws33%25%29%25%33%29%
Loses33%0%14%0%33%14%
Olympic KingswayWDWWWDL
Western KnightsWWDDWLW

League goals

Metric Olympic Kingsway Western Knights
HATHAT
GF total551013417
GF avg1.71.31.43.31.32.4
GA total4268210
GA avg1.30.50.92.00.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOlympic KingswayWestern Knights
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%57%71%86%
1.543%29%57%29%
2.514%0%57%14%
3.514%0%43%14%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOlympic KingswayWestern Knights
HATHAT
Clean sheets123011
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricOlympic KingswayWestern Knights
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricOlympic KingswayWestern Knights
Wins32
Draws12
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-24-21-4
Biggest losses1-2——1-0
Goals For4254
Goals Against2141

Model comparison

MetricOlympic KingswayWestern Knights
Form56%44%
Att44%56%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h91%9%
Goals75%25%
Total60.3%39.7%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.81 @ Dafabet
Draw4.00 @ Betfair
Away3.80 @ BetVictor

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.45 @ BetVictor

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.43 @ Unibet
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League standings

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