Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.75)
1.04 (league 1.63)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.6% | 33.0% | 43.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.6%
0 - 0
18.0%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Western Knights | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olympic Kingsway | 0 | 18.0% | 18.6% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Olympic Kingsway carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 159 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Olympic Kingsway -0.1, Western Knights +12.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Olympic Kingsway
vs
Western Knights
Elo gapOlympic Kingsway +159
Home / draw / away58% / 18% / 24%
Expected home share71%
Combined Elo3129.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3129.5
Elo home share
71%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Olympic Kingsway | Western Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1626.5 | 1503 |
| Form Elo | 1626.1 | 1525.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1553.1 | 1492.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1658 | 1578.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1600.6 | 1424.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -0.1 | +12.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Olympic Kingsway last-5 Elo change: -0.1; Western Knights last-5 Elo change: +12.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Olympic Kingsway | Western Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 42% | 53% |
| Defense | 74% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Olympic Kingsway | Western Knights | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 75% | 57% | 75% | 33% | 57% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
Olympic KingswayWDWWWDL
Western KnightsWWDDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Olympic Kingsway | Western Knights | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Olympic Kingsway | Western Knights | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 57% | 71% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 29% | 57% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 57% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 43% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Olympic Kingsway | Western Knights | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Olympic Kingsway | Western Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Olympic Kingsway | Western Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-2 | 4-2 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Olympic Kingsway | Western Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 91% | 9% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 60.3% | 39.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.81 @ Dafabet
Draw4.00 @ Betfair
Away3.80 @ BetVictor
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.45 @ BetVictor
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.43 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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