Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 08:00 •
Stadionul Jean Padureanu
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.50)
1.96 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.1% | 21.8% | 47.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.2%
1 - 2
9.1%
2 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Metalul Buzău | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gloria Bistriţa | 0 | 3.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Gloria Bistriţa carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 23 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Gloria Bistriţa -11.1, Metalul Buzău +52.4.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Gloria Bistriţa
vs
Metalul Buzău
Elo gapGloria Bistriţa +23
Home / draw / away38% / 27% / 35%
Expected home share53%
Combined Elo3128.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3128.6
Elo home share
53%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Gloria Bistriţa | Metalul Buzău |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1558.2 | 1570.4 |
| Form Elo | 1568.9 | 1582.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1527.9 | 1531.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1601.5 | 1648.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1557 | 1508.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -11.1 | +52.4 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Gloria Bistriţa last-5 Elo change: -11.1; Metalul Buzău last-5 Elo change: +52.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gloria Bistriţa | Metalul Buzău |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 100% |
| Attack | 40% | 93% |
| Defense | 67% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gloria Bistriţa | Metalul Buzău | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 42% | 23% | 32% | 54% | 58% | 56% |
| Draws | 17% | 31% | 24% | 15% | 0% | 8% |
| Loses | 42% | 46% | 44% | 31% | 42% | 36% |
Gloria BistriţaDDLDLWLLLWDLLLLWWWDWWLWLD
Metalul BuzăuLDWLWWLLWWWWWDLWLLLLWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Gloria Bistriţa | Metalul Buzău | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 15 | 34 | 21 | 23 | 44 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 14 | 20 | 34 | 12 | 17 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gloria Bistriţa | Metalul Buzău | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 80% | 76% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 40% | 48% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 16% | 28% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 20% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gloria Bistriţa | Metalul Buzău | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gloria Bistriţa | Metalul Buzău |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gloria Bistriţa | Metalul Buzău |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-4 | 5-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gloria Bistriţa | Metalul Buzău |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 32% | 68% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 47.0% | 53.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.02 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ Betfair
Away3.60 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.95 @ Betano
Under 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.73 @ Marathonbet
No1.96 @ Unibet
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League standings
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