Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 08:15 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.73)
1.14 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.0% | 24.2% | 25.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Komárov | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Slavoj Český Krumlov | 0 | 5.9% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.3% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Slavoj Český Krumlov carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 40 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Slavoj Český Krumlov +22.5, Komárov -32.3.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Slavoj Český Krumlov
vs
Komárov
Elo gapSlavoj Český Krumlov +40
Home / draw / away42% / 25% / 33%
Expected home share56%
Combined Elo3016.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3016.7
Elo home share
56%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Slavoj Český Krumlov | Komárov |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1510.7 | 1506 |
| Form Elo | 1521.7 | 1487.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1495.2 | 1504.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1589.5 | 1577.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1414.4 | 1417.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +22.5 | -32.3 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Slavoj Český Krumlov last-5 Elo change: +22.5; Komárov last-5 Elo change: -32.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Slavoj Český Krumlov | Komárov |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 20% |
| Attack | 23% | 20% |
| Defense | 73% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Slavoj Český Krumlov | Komárov | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 36% | 45% | 41% | 55% | 36% | 45% |
| Draws | 9% | 0% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 14% |
| Loses | 55% | 55% | 55% | 36% | 45% | 41% |
Slavoj Český KrumlovLWLLLWLLWLWWWDLWLLLLWW
KomárovWWWLWLLWWWLDDWDWLLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Slavoj Český Krumlov | Komárov | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 19 | 39 | 21 | 11 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 19 | 24 | 43 | 14 | 18 | 32 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Slavoj Český Krumlov | Komárov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 77% | 82% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 59% | 45% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 27% | 14% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 23% | 18% | 5% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Slavoj Český Krumlov | Komárov | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Slavoj Český Krumlov | Komárov |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Slavoj Český Krumlov | Komárov |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 3-5 | 5-1 | 0-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Slavoj Český Krumlov | Komárov |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 55.2% | 44.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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