Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 09:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.34 (league 1.67)
1.74 (league 1.71)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.2% | 19.7% | 28.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.0%
2 - 2
7.0%
1 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Rochedale Rovers | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Eastern Suburbs | 0 | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Eastern Suburbs carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 63 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Eastern Suburbs -7.6, Rochedale Rovers -8.7.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Eastern Suburbs
vs
Rochedale Rovers
Elo gapEastern Suburbs +63
Home / draw / away46% / 23% / 31%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo3069.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3069.6
Elo home share
59%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Rochedale Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1548.7 | 1520.9 |
| Form Elo | 1555.4 | 1495.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1497.6 | 1512.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1651.2 | 1646.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1457.1 | 1507.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -7.6 | -8.7 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Eastern Suburbs last-5 Elo change: -7.6; Rochedale Rovers last-5 Elo change: -8.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Rochedale Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 33% | 33% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
87%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Rochedale Rovers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 33% | 60% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 67% | 40% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 63% |
Eastern SuburbsLWWLLLWW
Rochedale RoversLLLWLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Rochedale Rovers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Eastern Suburbs | Rochedale Rovers | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 88% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 13% | 63% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Rochedale Rovers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Rochedale Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Rochedale Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-4 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Rochedale Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 53.5% | 46.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.95 @ 10Bet
Draw4.03 @ Pinnacle
Away3.31 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.85 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.44 @ Bet365
No2.82 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…