Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 09:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
5.07 (league 2.15) 1.66 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.0% 6.6% 5.3%
best score tips
5 - 1
5.5%
4 - 1
5.5%
5 - 2
4.6%
Score & goals probability table
Hallescher FC U19
0 1 2 3 4 5
Magdeburg U19 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
2 1.5% 2.5% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
3 2.6% 4.3% 3.6% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
4 3.3% 5.5% 4.5% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
5 3.3% 5.5% 4.6% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Magdeburg U19 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 138 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Magdeburg U19 +27.8, Hallescher FC U19 +33.3.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Magdeburg U19 Elo 1547.2 · +27.8
vs
Hallescher FC U19 Elo 1444.7 · +33.3
Elo gapMagdeburg U19 +138
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share69%
Combined Elo2991.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2991.9
Elo home share 69%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Magdeburg U19 Hallescher FC U19
Overall Elo1547.21444.7
Form Elo1577.41461.7
Home / Away Elo15141475.6
Attack Elo1822.61601.3
Defense Elo1397.91234.9
Last 5 Elo change+27.8+33.3

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Magdeburg U19 last-5 Elo change: +27.8; Hallescher FC U19 last-5 Elo change: +33.3.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMagdeburg U19Hallescher FC U19
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense56%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)21 | 4.220 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Magdeburg U19 Hallescher FC U19
HATHAT
Played11122312921
Wins45%42%43%33%22%29%
Draws0%25%13%0%22%10%
Loses55%33%43%67%56%62%
Magdeburg U19LLLLWLDDLDLLWWLWWWWLWWW
Hallescher FC U19LLWWLLLLLDLLLLLWWWWDL

League goals

Metric Magdeburg U19 Hallescher FC U19
HATHAT
GF total312556281341
GF avg2.82.12.42.31.42.0
GA total232447253560
GA avg2.12.02.02.13.92.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMagdeburg U19Hallescher FC U19
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%83%67%90%
1.552%61%38%67%
2.539%39%29%43%
3.526%17%24%38%
4.522%4%14%24%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMagdeburg U19Hallescher FC U19
HATHAT
Clean sheets224202
Failed to score123437

Penalties

MetricMagdeburg U19Hallescher FC U19
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricMagdeburg U19Hallescher FC U19
Wins44
Draws21
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-03-68-01-4
Biggest losses1-44-00-48-0
Goals For7684
Goals Against5448

Model comparison

MetricMagdeburg U19Hallescher FC U19
Form55%45%
Att51%49%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h71%29%
Goals61%39%
Total60.0%40.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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