Expected Goals
2.26 (league 1.95)
2.88 (league 1.75)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.1% | 17.4% | 44.7% |
best score tips
2 - 2
6.2%
2 - 3
6.0%
1 - 2
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Twente / Heracles U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Feyenoord U21 | 0 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Feyenoord U21 +11.2, Twente / Heracles U21 +16.9.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Feyenoord U21
vs
Twente / Heracles U21
Elo gapFeyenoord U21 +7
Home / draw / away36% / 29% / 35%
Expected home share51%
Combined Elo3084.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3084.3
Elo home share
51%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Feyenoord U21 | Twente / Heracles U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1528.3 | 1556 |
| Form Elo | 1537.8 | 1565.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1494.1 | 1543.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1642.2 | 1733.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1445.2 | 1390.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +11.2 | +16.9 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Feyenoord U21 last-5 Elo change: +11.2; Twente / Heracles U21 last-5 Elo change: +16.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Feyenoord U21 | Twente / Heracles U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 60% |
| Attack | 44% | 60% |
| Defense | 76% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
60%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Feyenoord U21 | Twente / Heracles U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 58% | 46% |
| Draws | 8% | 17% | 13% | 17% | 8% | 13% |
| Loses | 42% | 33% | 38% | 50% | 33% | 42% |
Feyenoord U21DWLLWWLWWDWLWLWLLDWWLLWW
Twente / Heracles U21DWLLWWWWLDLLLWLLDWWWLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Feyenoord U21 | Twente / Heracles U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 26 | 51 | 21 | 34 | 55 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 22 | 19 | 41 | 22 | 25 | 47 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Feyenoord U21 | Twente / Heracles U21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 67% | 75% | 92% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 46% | 63% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 33% | 38% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 13% | 21% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 13% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Feyenoord U21 | Twente / Heracles U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Feyenoord U21 | Twente / Heracles U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Feyenoord U21 | Twente / Heracles U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-5 | 7-2 | 1-7 |
| Biggest losses | 1-7 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Feyenoord U21 | Twente / Heracles U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 44.7% | 55.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
