Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.26 (league 1.95) 2.88 (league 1.75)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.1% 17.4% 44.7%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.2%
2 - 3
6.0%
1 - 2
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
Twente / Heracles U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Feyenoord U21 0 0.6% 1.7% 2.4% 2.3% 1.7% 1.0%
1 1.3% 3.8% 5.5% 5.3% 3.8% 2.2%
2 1.5% 4.3% 6.2% 6.0% 4.3% 2.5%
3 1.1% 3.2% 4.7% 4.5% 3.2% 1.9%
4 0.6% 1.8% 2.6% 2.5% 1.8% 1.1%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Feyenoord U21 +11.2, Twente / Heracles U21 +16.9.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone
Feyenoord U21 Elo 1528.3 · +11.2
vs
Twente / Heracles U21 Elo 1556 · +16.9
Elo gapFeyenoord U21 +7
Home / draw / away36% / 29% / 35%
Expected home share51%
Combined Elo3084.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band Thin confidence
Upset risk High
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3084.3
Elo home share 51%
Match tone Upset Watch
Metric Feyenoord U21 Twente / Heracles U21
Overall Elo1528.31556
Form Elo1537.81565.1
Home / Away Elo1494.11543.4
Attack Elo1642.21733.9
Defense Elo1445.21390.4
Last 5 Elo change+11.2+16.9

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Feyenoord U21 last-5 Elo change: +11.2; Twente / Heracles U21 last-5 Elo change: +16.9.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFeyenoord U21Twente / Heracles U21
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack44%60%
Defense76%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.215 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

60%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Feyenoord U21 Twente / Heracles U21
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins50%50%50%33%58%46%
Draws8%17%13%17%8%13%
Loses42%33%38%50%33%42%
Feyenoord U21DWLLWWLWWDWLWLWLLDWWLLWW
Twente / Heracles U21DWLLWWWWLDLLLWLLDWWWLWLW

League goals

Metric Feyenoord U21 Twente / Heracles U21
HATHAT
GF total252651213455
GF avg2.12.22.11.82.82.3
GA total221941222547
GA avg1.81.61.71.82.12.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFeyenoord U21Twente / Heracles U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%67%75%92%
1.563%46%63%54%
2.538%33%38%29%
3.517%13%21%13%
4.54%4%13%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFeyenoord U21Twente / Heracles U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets448112
Failed to score112426

Penalties

MetricFeyenoord U21Twente / Heracles U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFeyenoord U21Twente / Heracles U21
Wins24
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-57-21-7
Biggest losses1-73-00-35-0
Goals For4577
Goals Against7445

Model comparison

MetricFeyenoord U21Twente / Heracles U21
Form50%50%
Att42%58%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total44.7%55.3%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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