PFL
— Philippines
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 2.32)
1.23 (league 2.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.3% | 30.1% | 49.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.4%
0 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Taguig | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stallion | 0 | 15.0% | 18.5% | 11.4% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Taguig carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 80 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Stallion +13.0, Taguig +43.9.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Stallion
vs
Taguig
Elo gapTaguig +80
Home / draw / away31% / 21% / 48%
Expected home share39%
Combined Elo3222.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3222.2
Elo home share
39%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Stallion | Taguig |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1553.7 | 1668.5 |
| Form Elo | 1569.5 | 1707.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1503.5 | 1578.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1786.7 | 2032 |
| Defense Elo | 1599.6 | 1709.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +13.0 | +43.9 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Stallion last-5 Elo change: +13.0; Taguig last-5 Elo change: +43.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Stallion | Taguig |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 100% |
| Attack | 90% | 95% |
| Defense | 70% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 18 | 3.6 | 19 | 3.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
7.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
62%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Stallion | Taguig | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 100% | 88% | 94% |
| Draws | 25% | 30% | 28% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 25% | 20% | 22% | 0% | 13% | 6% |
StallionDLWWLWDWLWDWWDLWWD
TaguigWWLWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Stallion | Taguig | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 31 | 25 | 56 | 57 | 26 | 83 |
| GF avg | 3.9 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 5.7 | 3.3 | 4.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Stallion | Taguig | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 67% | 94% | 28% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 17% | 67% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 39% | 6% | 56% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 0% | 44% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 28% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Stallion | Taguig | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Stallion | Taguig |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Stallion | Taguig |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 12-1 | 0-8 | 13-0 | 0-8 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 12 | 8 | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Stallion | Taguig |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 49% | 51% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 39.0% | 61.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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