Championship
— England
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 11:30 •
The Hawthorns
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.38)
1.64 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.6% | 24.4% | 46.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Ipswich | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| West Brom | 0 | 5.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Ipswich carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 88 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: West Brom +34.7, Ipswich +9.8.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
West Brom
vs
Ipswich
Elo gapIpswich +88
Home / draw / away30% / 20% / 50%
Expected home share38%
Combined Elo3078.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3078.3
Elo home share
38%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | West Brom | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1477.5 | 1600.8 |
| Form Elo | 1510.1 | 1606.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1513.7 | 1537.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1444.7 | 1628.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1498.8 | 1551.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +34.7 | +9.8 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. West Brom last-5 Elo change: +34.7; Ipswich last-5 Elo change: +9.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | West Brom | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 67% |
| Attack | 47% | 53% |
| Defense | 87% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | West Brom | Ipswich | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 22 | 22 | 44 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
| Wins | 36% | 23% | 30% | 59% | 43% | 51% |
| Draws | 41% | 18% | 30% | 36% | 24% | 30% |
| Loses | 23% | 59% | 41% | 5% | 33% | 19% |
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IpswichDDLDWWDWLLWWDWDWLDWWLWDWWWWLDWLWWWDDWDWWLDW
League goals
| Metric | West Brom | Ipswich | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 19 | 47 | 40 | 35 | 75 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 25 | 31 | 56 | 17 | 28 | 45 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | West Brom | Ipswich | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 70% | 88% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 36% | 53% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 16% | 23% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 2% | 7% | 2% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | West Brom | Ipswich | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | West Brom | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 9 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 9 |
Streaks
| Metric | West Brom | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 5-3 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | West Brom | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 55.5% | 44.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.75 @ Unibet
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away2.10 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.87 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No2.05 @ Betfair
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League standings
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