Super League
— China
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 11:35 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.78)
1.12 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.8% | 31.5% | 44.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.6%
0 - 0
15.8%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Tianjin Teda | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Beijing Guoan | 0 | 15.8% | 17.6% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Beijing Guoan carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 121 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Beijing Guoan -12.4, Tianjin Teda -10.2.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Beijing Guoan
vs
Tianjin Teda
Elo gapBeijing Guoan +121
Home / draw / away55% / 18% / 27%
Expected home share67%
Combined Elo3038.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3038.8
Elo home share
67%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Beijing Guoan | Tianjin Teda |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1562.2 | 1476.6 |
| Form Elo | 1554.5 | 1465.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1539.8 | 1480 |
| Attack Elo | 1710.3 | 1448.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1535.9 | 1528.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -12.4 | -10.2 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Beijing Guoan last-5 Elo change: -12.4; Tianjin Teda last-5 Elo change: -10.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Beijing Guoan | Tianjin Teda |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 44% | 78% |
| Defense | 44% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Beijing Guoan | Tianjin Teda | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 40% | 29% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Draws | 50% | 20% | 29% | 50% | 0% | 29% |
| Loses | 50% | 40% | 43% | 50% | 67% | 57% |
Beijing GuoanWLDLLDW
Tianjin TedaDLLLDWL
League goals
| Metric | Beijing Guoan | Tianjin Teda | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Beijing Guoan | Tianjin Teda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 57% | 57% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 43% | 29% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Beijing Guoan | Tianjin Teda | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Beijing Guoan | Tianjin Teda |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Beijing Guoan | Tianjin Teda |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | — | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Beijing Guoan | Tianjin Teda |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 55.0% | 45.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.47 @ 1xBet
Draw4.80 @ Dafabet
Away7.00 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.59 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.39 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.70 @ Bet365
No2.15 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
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