Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 11:45 •
Stadion HNK Cibalia
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.33)
0.50 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7% | 20.0% | 9.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.2%
2 - 0
16.3%
3 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Bsk Bijelo Brdo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| HNK Cibalia | 0 | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.3% | 8.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.4% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.3% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
HNK Cibalia carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 88 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: HNK Cibalia +15.1, Bsk Bijelo Brdo +1.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
HNK Cibalia
vs
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
Elo gapHNK Cibalia +88
Home / draw / away50% / 20% / 30%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo3091.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3091.2
Elo home share
62%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | HNK Cibalia | Bsk Bijelo Brdo |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1572.2 | 1519 |
| Form Elo | 1571.7 | 1518.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1538.4 | 1494.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1576.3 | 1474.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1595.1 | 1595.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +15.1 | +1.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. HNK Cibalia last-5 Elo change: +15.1; Bsk Bijelo Brdo last-5 Elo change: +1.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | HNK Cibalia | Bsk Bijelo Brdo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 69% | 25% |
| Defense | 69% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | HNK Cibalia | Bsk Bijelo Brdo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 13 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| Wins | 64% | 31% | 48% | 54% | 14% | 33% |
| Draws | 21% | 23% | 22% | 31% | 29% | 30% |
| Loses | 14% | 46% | 30% | 15% | 57% | 37% |
HNK CibaliaLDDWDWLLDWWDLWWWWWWLLLWLWDW
Bsk Bijelo BrdoWDDDWLLLLLWWWLWDDLWLDDLDWLW
League goals
| Metric | HNK Cibalia | Bsk Bijelo Brdo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 14 | 39 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 10 | 16 | 26 | 5 | 19 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | HNK Cibalia | Bsk Bijelo Brdo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 56% | 56% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 37% | 26% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 4% | 11% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | HNK Cibalia | Bsk Bijelo Brdo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | HNK Cibalia | Bsk Bijelo Brdo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | HNK Cibalia | Bsk Bijelo Brdo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-3 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-2 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | HNK Cibalia | Bsk Bijelo Brdo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 72.0% | 28.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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