Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 •
Fuchs-Park-Stadion
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.72)
1.01 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.9% | 29.9% | 33.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
1 - 0
13.3%
0 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Cham | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Eintracht Bamberg | 0 | 12.2% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.3% | 13.5% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Cham carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 57 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Eintracht Bamberg -5.0, Cham +13.9.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Eintracht Bamberg
vs
Cham
Elo gapCham +57
Home / draw / away32% / 24% / 44%
Expected home share42%
Combined Elo3090.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3090.5
Elo home share
42%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Eintracht Bamberg | Cham |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1499.3 | 1591.2 |
| Form Elo | 1498.9 | 1597.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1476.6 | 1534.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1472.3 | 1549 |
| Defense Elo | 1474.1 | 1594.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -5.0 | +13.9 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Eintracht Bamberg last-5 Elo change: -5.0; Cham last-5 Elo change: +13.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Eintracht Bamberg | Cham |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 80% |
| Attack | 30% | 55% |
| Defense | 85% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Eintracht Bamberg | Cham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 50% | 36% | 43% | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| Draws | 29% | 43% | 36% | 27% | 21% | 24% |
| Loses | 21% | 21% | 21% | 13% | 29% | 21% |
Eintracht BambergWLDDLDWLWWWDDLWWWWLDLWWWDDDD
ChamWWDLWLDDWWLDLDWWWWWWWLDDWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Eintracht Bamberg | Cham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 23 | 47 | 29 | 21 | 50 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 12 | 19 | 31 | 14 | 16 | 30 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Eintracht Bamberg | Cham | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 61% | 79% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 29% | 45% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 18% | 24% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 17% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Eintracht Bamberg | Cham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Eintracht Bamberg | Cham |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Eintracht Bamberg | Cham |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | 6-2 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Eintracht Bamberg | Cham |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 37% | 63% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 59.5% | 40.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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