Super League
— Kenya
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 12:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.14)
0.23 (league 0.78)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.2% | 38.7% | 9.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
31.6%
1 - 0
29.1%
2 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Luanda Villa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kisumu All Stars | 0 | 31.6% | 7.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.1% | 6.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.4% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Kisumu All Stars carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 44 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Kisumu All Stars +7.4, Luanda Villa +2.8.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Kisumu All Stars
vs
Luanda Villa
Elo gapKisumu All Stars +44
Home / draw / away42% / 25% / 33%
Expected home share56%
Combined Elo2897.5
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2897.5
Elo home share
56%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Kisumu All Stars | Luanda Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1453 | 1444.5 |
| Form Elo | 1447.8 | 1436.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1523.8 | 1446.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1371.9 | 1342.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1490.3 | 1522.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +7.4 | +2.8 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Kisumu All Stars last-5 Elo change: +7.4; Luanda Villa last-5 Elo change: +2.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kisumu All Stars | Luanda Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 20% |
| Attack | 100% | 0% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
48%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
48%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kisumu All Stars | Luanda Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 43% | 7% | 24% | 27% | 21% | 24% |
| Draws | 29% | 27% | 28% | 40% | 7% | 24% |
| Loses | 29% | 67% | 48% | 33% | 71% | 52% |
Kisumu All StarsLLDDLLWLLWDLWDLWDWDLLLLWDDLWL
Luanda VillaDLLWLLWLLWWDWDWLLLDLLLWLDLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Kisumu All Stars | Luanda Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 8 | 28 | 36 | 14 | 21 | 35 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kisumu All Stars | Luanda Villa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 48% | 66% | 38% | 66% |
| 1.5 | 10% | 38% | 17% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 10% | 3% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kisumu All Stars | Luanda Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kisumu All Stars | Luanda Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kisumu All Stars | Luanda Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-1 | 2-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kisumu All Stars | Luanda Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 83% | 17% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 51.4% | 48.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.30 @ 1xBet
Draw3.10 @ Dafabet
Away3.50 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ 1xBet
No1.70 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
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