Ykkönen — Finland
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 • Porin Stadion
Not Started

FC jazz

—

JJK

Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.97) 11.69 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.0% 0.0% 2.4%
best score tips
1 - 5
0.6%
0 - 5
0.6%
2 - 5
0.3%
Score & goals probability table
JJK
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC jazz 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6%
1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away lean

JJK carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 37 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: FC jazz -12.5, JJK +39.6.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
FC jazz Elo 1455.2 · -12.5
vs
JJK Elo 1527.1 · +39.6
Elo gapJJK +37
Home / draw / away33% / 26% / 41%
Expected home share45%
Combined Elo2982.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2982.3
Elo home share 45%
Match tone Good Watch
Metric FC jazz JJK
Overall Elo1455.21527.1
Form Elo1447.51585.9
Home / Away Elo1486.91487.5
Attack Elo1593.81545
Defense Elo1354.71479.7
Last 5 Elo change-12.5+39.6

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. FC jazz last-5 Elo change: -12.5; JJK last-5 Elo change: +39.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC jazzJJK
Played33
Form33%100%
Attack19%56%
Defense44%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 19 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 35 | 1.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

93%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-2
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC jazz JJK
HATHAT
Played123123
Wins0%50%33%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses100%50%67%0%0%0%
FC jazzLLW
JJKWWW

League goals

Metric FC jazz JJK
HATHAT
GF total123279
GF avg1.01.01.02.03.53.0
GA total549145
GA avg5.02.03.01.02.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC jazzJJK
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%100%
1.533%67%100%33%
2.50%67%33%33%
3.50%67%33%0%
4.50%33%33%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC jazzJJK
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricFC jazzJJK
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFC jazzJJK
Wins03
Draws00
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-22-13-5
Biggest losses1-54-0——
Goals For1225
Goals Against5413

Model comparison

MetricFC jazzJJK
Form25%75%
Att25%75%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution10%90%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total28.2%71.8%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.60 @ Betfair
Draw4.27 @ Pinnacle
Away1.83 @ Dafabet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ William Hill
No3.10 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.20 @ Betfair
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League standings

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