Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 2.15)
0.55 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.9% | 16.7% | 7.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.4%
1 - 0
13.9%
3 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Greuther Fürth U19 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FK Pirmasens U19 | 0 | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.3% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
FK Pirmasens U19 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 66 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: FK Pirmasens U19 +4.7, Greuther Fürth U19 -10.6.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
FK Pirmasens U19
vs
Greuther Fürth U19
Elo gapFK Pirmasens U19 +66
Home / draw / away46% / 22% / 32%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo2954.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2954.6
Elo home share
59%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | FK Pirmasens U19 | Greuther Fürth U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1493 | 1461.6 |
| Form Elo | 1489.3 | 1460.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1512 | 1467.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1476.1 | 1564 |
| Defense Elo | 1511 | 1331.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +4.7 | -10.6 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. FK Pirmasens U19 last-5 Elo change: +4.7; Greuther Fürth U19 last-5 Elo change: -10.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FK Pirmasens U19 | Greuther Fürth U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 73% | 55% |
| Defense | 27% | 18% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FK Pirmasens U19 | Greuther Fürth U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 29% | 50% | 30% | 40% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Loses | 0% | 75% | 43% | 40% | 60% | 50% |
FK Pirmasens U19DLWDWLL
Greuther Fürth U19LLWWLWLLWLWLLWWDLDWL
League goals
| Metric | FK Pirmasens U19 | Greuther Fürth U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 14 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 28 | 46 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FK Pirmasens U19 | Greuther Fürth U19 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 86% | 70% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 57% | 40% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 14% | 20% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 15% | 35% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FK Pirmasens U19 | Greuther Fürth U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | FK Pirmasens U19 | Greuther Fürth U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | FK Pirmasens U19 | Greuther Fürth U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 8-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-5 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FK Pirmasens U19 | Greuther Fürth U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 56.4% | 43.6% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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