Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.59)
1.10 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.4% | 26.0% | 28.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
11.3%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Renate U19 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pro Vercelli U19 | 0 | 7.7% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.3% | 12.4% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.3% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Pro Vercelli U19 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 68 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Pro Vercelli U19 +25.7, Renate U19 -6.3.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Pro Vercelli U19
vs
Renate U19
Elo gapPro Vercelli U19 +68
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo2980.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2980.2
Elo home share
60%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Pro Vercelli U19 | Renate U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1506.4 | 1473.8 |
| Form Elo | 1507.1 | 1469.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1503 | 1493.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1494.8 | 1412.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1463.9 | 1507.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +25.7 | -6.3 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Pro Vercelli U19 last-5 Elo change: +25.7; Renate U19 last-5 Elo change: -6.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pro Vercelli U19 | Renate U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 47% |
| Attack | 41% | 29% |
| Defense | 71% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pro Vercelli U19 | Renate U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 54% | 50% | 52% | 29% | 23% | 26% |
| Draws | 8% | 7% | 7% | 36% | 38% | 37% |
| Loses | 38% | 43% | 41% | 36% | 38% | 37% |
Pro Vercelli U19LDLLWWLWDWWWWWLWLLLWLLWWWWL
Renate U19LDLDLDDLDWWDLWDDLWWDLLWLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Pro Vercelli U19 | Renate U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 16 | 39 | 17 | 13 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 20 | 18 | 38 | 22 | 17 | 39 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pro Vercelli U19 | Renate U19 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 70% | 63% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 33% | 33% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 22% | 15% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 15% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pro Vercelli U19 | Renate U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pro Vercelli U19 | Renate U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pro Vercelli U19 | Renate U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pro Vercelli U19 | Renate U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 37% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 62.5% | 37.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.11 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.20 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.71 @ Marathonbet
No1.98 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
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