Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 08:00 •
Hristo Radovanov Stadium
Expected Goals
2.85 (league 1.63)
0.30 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 82.0% | 8.8% | 2.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
17.4%
3 - 0
16.5%
1 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Levski Sofia II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Strumska Slava | 0 | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.4% | 5.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 16.6% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.9% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Strumska Slava carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 144 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Strumska Slava -6.6, Levski Sofia II -9.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Strumska Slava
vs
Levski Sofia II
Elo gapStrumska Slava +144
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share70%
Combined Elo3014.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3014.4
Elo home share
70%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Strumska Slava | Levski Sofia II |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1561.8 | 1452.6 |
| Form Elo | 1560.9 | 1440.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1536.6 | 1454 |
| Attack Elo | 1584.9 | 1391.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1568.1 | 1512.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -6.6 | -9.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Strumska Slava last-5 Elo change: -6.6; Levski Sofia II last-5 Elo change: -9.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Strumska Slava | Levski Sofia II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 56% |
| Defense | 22% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Strumska Slava | Levski Sofia II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 13 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 79% | 46% | 63% | 57% | 8% | 33% |
| Draws | 7% | 23% | 15% | 21% | 23% | 22% |
| Loses | 14% | 31% | 22% | 21% | 69% | 44% |
Strumska SlavaWWWLDWWLWDWDWWWWWWLWWLDWLWL
Levski Sofia IIWLWDWLWDLWLDLLLWWLLLDLDWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Strumska Slava | Levski Sofia II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 41 | 20 | 61 | 20 | 4 | 24 |
| GF avg | 2.9 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 15 | 22 | 37 | 15 | 21 | 36 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Strumska Slava | Levski Sofia II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 78% | 59% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 70% | 44% | 22% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 37% | 11% | 7% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 4% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Strumska Slava | Levski Sofia II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Strumska Slava | Levski Sofia II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Strumska Slava | Levski Sofia II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 2-3 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-1 | 1-5 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Strumska Slava | Levski Sofia II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 90% | 10% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 56.7% | 43.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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