Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
3.39 (league 0.89)
0.34 (league 0.70)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 79.5% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
best score tips
3 - 0
15.5%
2 - 0
13.8%
4 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Agama | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ngezi Platinum | 0 | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.8% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.5% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.2% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.9% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Ngezi Platinum carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 133 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Ngezi Platinum -8.0, Agama -4.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Ngezi Platinum
vs
Agama
Elo gapNgezi Platinum +133
Home / draw / away56% / 18% / 26%
Expected home share68%
Combined Elo3023.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3023.6
Elo home share
68%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Ngezi Platinum | Agama |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1560.7 | 1462.9 |
| Form Elo | 1563.7 | 1445.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1542 | 1480.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1484.1 | 1437.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1596.5 | 1517.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -8.0 | -4.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Ngezi Platinum last-5 Elo change: -8.0; Agama last-5 Elo change: -4.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ngezi Platinum | Agama |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 13% |
| Attack | 42% | 33% |
| Defense | 75% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ngezi Platinum | Agama | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 75% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 25% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
Ngezi PlatinumWDWDWWDD
AgamaLLLDLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Ngezi Platinum | Agama | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ngezi Platinum | Agama | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 63% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 13% | 13% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ngezi Platinum | Agama | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ngezi Platinum | Agama |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ngezi Platinum | Agama |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ngezi Platinum | Agama |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 82% | 18% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 93% | 7% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 76.0% | 24.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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