Expected Goals
0.51 (league 1.89)
2.36 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.2% | 14.8% | 75.6% |
best score tips
0 - 2
15.8%
0 - 1
13.4%
0 - 3
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Volov Shumen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dorostol | 0 | 5.7% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Volov Shumen carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 159 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Dorostol -38.6, Volov Shumen +52.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Dorostol
vs
Volov Shumen
Elo gapVolov Shumen +159
Home / draw / away24% / 18% / 58%
Expected home share29%
Combined Elo2983.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2983.4
Elo home share
29%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Dorostol | Volov Shumen |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1394.9 | 1588.5 |
| Form Elo | 1354.2 | 1620 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1442.6 | 1516.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1372.4 | 1723.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1398.1 | 1584.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -38.6 | +52.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Dorostol last-5 Elo change: -38.6; Volov Shumen last-5 Elo change: +52.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dorostol | Volov Shumen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 100% |
| Attack | 13% | 78% |
| Defense | 57% | 87% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 18 | 3.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Dorostol | Volov Shumen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 31% | 23% | 27% | 77% | 50% | 64% |
| Draws | 8% | 23% | 15% | 15% | 8% | 12% |
| Loses | 62% | 54% | 58% | 8% | 42% | 24% |
DorostolLWWLWWLDWLWDDLWLLLLLLLLLLD
Volov ShumenLWWLDWWLWWWWLWDWLWLDWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Dorostol | Volov Shumen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 12 | 23 | 39 | 25 | 64 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| GA total | 22 | 24 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dorostol | Volov Shumen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 73% | 84% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 50% | 72% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 35% | 48% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 12% | 32% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 16% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dorostol | Volov Shumen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dorostol | Volov Shumen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dorostol | Volov Shumen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 10 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 6-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dorostol | Volov Shumen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 6% | 94% |
| Att | 14% | 86% |
| Def | 23% | 77% |
| Poisson Distribution | 17% | 83% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 26.7% | 73.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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