Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:30 •
Mewa Arena
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.63)
2.69 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.0% | 12.7% | 75.7% |
best score tips
0 - 2
13.4%
0 - 3
12.0%
0 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Bayern München | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 3.7% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 87% |
| Attack | 37% | 89% |
| Defense | 79% | 74% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 17 | 3.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | Bayern München | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 27% | 27% | 27% | 87% | 80% | 83% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 7% | 20% | 13% |
| Loses | 40% | 40% | 40% | 7% | 0% | 3% |
FSV Mainz 05LDLWLLLLDLDLLDDDWLWWWLDDDWWWLD
Bayern MünchenWWWWWWWWWDWWWDWWWWLDWWWWWDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | Bayern München | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 19 | 36 | 60 | 49 | 109 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 3.6 |
| GA total | 18 | 27 | 45 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FSV Mainz 05 | Bayern München | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 90% | 100% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 33% | 93% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 13% | 80% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 13% | 47% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 27% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | Bayern München | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 8 | 100.00% | 11 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 8 | 11 |
Streaks
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-4 | 8-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FSV Mainz 05 | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 18% | 82% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 22% | 78% |
| Total | 32.8% | 67.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.27 @ 1xBet
Draw4.85 @ Pinnacle
Away1.76 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.36 @ Betano
Under 2.53.43 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.40 @ William Hill
No3.04 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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