Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:30 •
FV-Platz Dudenhofen
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.96)
0.88 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.7% | 28.2% | 24.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Cosmos Koblenz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dudenhofen | 0 | 11.0% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 12.9% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Dudenhofen carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 35 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Dudenhofen +4.3, Cosmos Koblenz -4.7.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Dudenhofen
vs
Cosmos Koblenz
Elo gapDudenhofen +35
Home / draw / away41% / 26% / 33%
Expected home share55%
Combined Elo2947.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2947.6
Elo home share
55%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Dudenhofen | Cosmos Koblenz |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1473.8 | 1473.8 |
| Form Elo | 1482.8 | 1465 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1477 | 1477.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1477.7 | 1423 |
| Defense Elo | 1453.9 | 1504 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +4.3 | -4.7 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Dudenhofen last-5 Elo change: +4.3; Cosmos Koblenz last-5 Elo change: -4.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dudenhofen | Cosmos Koblenz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 41% | 32% |
| Defense | 64% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Dudenhofen | Cosmos Koblenz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 29% | 29% | 29% | 50% | 21% | 36% |
| Draws | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 14% | 21% |
| Loses | 43% | 43% | 43% | 21% | 64% | 43% |
DudenhofenWLLLLDLWLLLDLWDLDWWLDDWDWDWL
Cosmos KoblenzDLWWWWLWLDLDWLLDDWWLLLLWDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Dudenhofen | Cosmos Koblenz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 24 | 42 | 26 | 14 | 40 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 20 | 32 | 52 | 20 | 28 | 48 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dudenhofen | Cosmos Koblenz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 86% | 79% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 46% | 46% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 36% | 11% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 18% | 4% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dudenhofen | Cosmos Koblenz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dudenhofen | Cosmos Koblenz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dudenhofen | Cosmos Koblenz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-3 | 5-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dudenhofen | Cosmos Koblenz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 49.3% | 50.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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