3. Division
— Cyprus
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
3.26 (league 1.43)
1.55 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.7% | 14.1% | 14.4% |
best score tips
3 - 1
7.3%
2 - 1
6.7%
4 - 1
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlas Aglantzi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leivadia | 0 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Leivadia carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 60 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Leivadia -2.0, Atlas Aglantzi -18.8.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Leivadia
vs
Atlas Aglantzi
Elo gapLeivadia +60
Home / draw / away45% / 23% / 32%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo2885.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2885.2
Elo home share
59%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Leivadia | Atlas Aglantzi |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1455.1 | 1430.1 |
| Form Elo | 1454.5 | 1411.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1524.7 | 1456.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1507.6 | 1517.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1431.1 | 1340.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -2.0 | -18.8 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Leivadia last-5 Elo change: -2.0; Atlas Aglantzi last-5 Elo change: -18.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leivadia | Atlas Aglantzi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 50% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leivadia | Atlas Aglantzi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 13 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 57% | 15% | 37% | 43% | 15% | 30% |
| Draws | 21% | 8% | 15% | 14% | 15% | 15% |
| Loses | 21% | 77% | 48% | 43% | 69% | 56% |
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Atlas AglantziLLLLLWLDWWDWLLLDWLLDLWLWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Leivadia | Atlas Aglantzi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 14 | 39 | 19 | 18 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 18 | 26 | 44 | 21 | 34 | 55 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leivadia | Atlas Aglantzi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 78% | 70% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 48% | 33% | 59% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 26% | 11% | 37% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 7% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leivadia | Atlas Aglantzi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leivadia | Atlas Aglantzi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leivadia | Atlas Aglantzi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-2 | 5-3 | 2-7 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leivadia | Atlas Aglantzi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 53.4% | 46.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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