Czech Liga — Czech-Republic
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 • Dolicek
Match Finished

Bohemians 1905

2 - 0

Sparta Praha

Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.39) 1.48 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.6% 25.6% 65.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.7%
0 - 2
17.5%
0 - 0
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
Sparta Praha
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bohemians 1905 0 16.1% 23.7% 17.5% 8.6% 3.2% 0.9%
1 5.7% 8.3% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
2 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away strong edge

Sparta Praha carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 99 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Bohemians 1905 +7.6, Sparta Praha +20.0.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Bohemians 1905 Elo 1540.3 · +7.6
vs
Sparta Praha Elo 1674.1 · +20.0
Elo gapSparta Praha +99
Home / draw / away29% / 19% / 52%
Expected home share36%
Combined Elo3214.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3214.4
Elo home share 36%
Match tone Upset Watch
Metric Bohemians 1905 Sparta Praha
Overall Elo1540.31674.1
Form Elo15451698.9
Home / Away Elo1476.11552.7
Attack Elo1478.71732.7
Defense Elo1579.11628.3
Last 5 Elo change+7.6+20.0

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Bohemians 1905 last-5 Elo change: +7.6; Sparta Praha last-5 Elo change: +20.0.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBohemians 1905Sparta Praha
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack25%75%
Defense69%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bohemians 1905 Sparta Praha
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins29%33%31%73%57%66%
Draws21%20%21%20%21%21%
Loses50%47%48%7%21%14%
Bohemians 1905WLLLWDWWDDLDLLWLLLLDLWWLDLLWW
Sparta PrahaDWWWWWWLWWDDWLDWLWDWWWDWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Bohemians 1905 Sparta Praha
HATHAT
GF total101424382260
GF avg0.70.90.82.51.62.1
GA total161935211031
GA avg1.11.31.21.40.71.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBohemians 1905Sparta Praha
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%72%93%62%
1.524%38%66%34%
2.50%10%34%7%
3.50%0%7%3%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBohemians 1905Sparta Praha
HATHAT
Clean sheets4483811
Failed to score6612022

Penalties

MetricBohemians 1905Sparta Praha
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total17

Streaks

MetricBohemians 1905Sparta Praha
Wins26
Draws22
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-25-20-3
Biggest losses0-33-02-43-1
Goals For2253
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricBohemians 1905Sparta Praha
Form37%63%
Att25%75%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h0%100%
Goals23%77%
Total32.0%68.0%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.75 @ 888Sport
Draw3.70 @ Betfair
Away1.92 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Betano
Under 2.52.00 @ 888Sport

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Betano
No2.10 @ Betfair
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League standings

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