Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Melvin Sports Complex
Expected Goals
2.31 (league 2.11)
0.93 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2% | 18.1% | 13.6% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.5%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Coagh United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Strabane Athletic | 0 | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.0% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Strabane Athletic carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 150 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Strabane Athletic +48.6, Coagh United -13.6.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Strabane Athletic
vs
Coagh United
Elo gapStrabane Athletic +150
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share70%
Combined Elo3057.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3057.6
Elo home share
70%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Strabane Athletic | Coagh United |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1586.3 | 1471.3 |
| Form Elo | 1622.4 | 1463.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1542.4 | 1484.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1599.1 | 1484.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1476.1 | 1397.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +48.6 | -13.6 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Strabane Athletic last-5 Elo change: +48.6; Coagh United last-5 Elo change: -13.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Strabane Athletic | Coagh United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 40% |
| Attack | 55% | 36% |
| Defense | 82% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Strabane Athletic | Coagh United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 70% | 56% | 63% | 45% | 18% | 32% |
| Draws | 10% | 0% | 5% | 9% | 36% | 23% |
| Loses | 20% | 44% | 32% | 45% | 45% | 45% |
Strabane AthleticWDLLLWWWLWLWLWWWWWW
Coagh UnitedDLWWLDWLWDLLLLWDDLLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Strabane Athletic | Coagh United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 17 | 35 | 19 | 13 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 11 | 17 | 28 | 16 | 30 | 46 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Strabane Athletic | Coagh United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 79% | 64% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 37% | 41% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 21% | 27% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 11% | 14% | 23% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Strabane Athletic | Coagh United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Strabane Athletic | Coagh United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Strabane Athletic | Coagh United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-5 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Strabane Athletic | Coagh United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 59.2% | 40.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…