Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Stade de Bouleyres
Expected Goals
2.51 (league 1.89)
1.35 (league 1.54)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.5% | 18.1% | 18.9% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
3 - 1
7.5%
1 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Cham | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bulle | 0 | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Bulle +30.8, Cham -1.2.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Bulle
vs
Cham
Elo gapBulle +14
Home / draw / away37% / 28% / 35%
Expected home share52%
Combined Elo2991.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2991.4
Elo home share
52%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Bulle | Cham |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1485.4 | 1506 |
| Form Elo | 1512.1 | 1508.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1482.3 | 1515.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1588.8 | 1557.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1428.7 | 1435.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +30.8 | -1.2 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Bulle last-5 Elo change: +30.8; Cham last-5 Elo change: -1.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bulle | Cham |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 55% | 45% |
| Defense | 65% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
75%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bulle | Cham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 57% | 21% | 39% | 50% | 29% | 39% |
| Draws | 0% | 36% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 21% |
| Loses | 43% | 43% | 43% | 29% | 50% | 39% |
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ChamWLLLWDLWLWDWLWDLLWLWDLWDWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Bulle | Cham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 35 | 21 | 56 | 31 | 18 | 49 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 23 | 30 | 53 | 25 | 27 | 52 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bulle | Cham | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 96% | 82% | 75% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 57% | 57% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 32% | 29% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 18% | 7% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 4% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bulle | Cham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bulle | Cham |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bulle | Cham |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 3-4 | 6-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bulle | Cham |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 61% | 39% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 52.0% | 48.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.35 @ Betano
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away2.70 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.38 @ Marathonbet
No2.74 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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