Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Stade des Peupliers
Expected Goals
2.40 (league 1.91)
1.30 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.2% | 18.7% | 19.3% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 1
7.7%
3 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Lugano II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bavois | 0 | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bavois | Lugano II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 25% | 25% |
| Defense | 55% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bavois | Lugano II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 27% | 36% | 31% |
| Draws | 21% | 7% | 14% | 53% | 7% | 31% |
| Loses | 29% | 43% | 36% | 20% | 57% | 38% |
BavoisLWLWWDWWWWWDWWLWDWLLWLLLLDWL
Lugano IILDWWDLWDDLDLDWWDLWLLLWWLLDWDL
League goals
| Metric | Bavois | Lugano II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 28 | 52 | 17 | 24 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 17 | 23 | 40 | 24 | 38 | 62 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bavois | Lugano II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 71% | 69% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 43% | 45% | 62% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 21% | 21% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 4% | 7% | 21% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bavois | Lugano II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bavois | Lugano II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bavois | Lugano II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-2 | 0-6 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bavois | Lugano II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 50.2% | 49.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.50 @ Bet365
Draw4.70 @ Dafabet
Away6.07 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.65 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Betano
No2.24 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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