Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
The Enclosed Ground
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.65)
0.79 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.9% | 22.8% | 16.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
2 - 0
12.1%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Potters Bar Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Whitehawk | 0 | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 10.8% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.1% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Whitehawk carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 131 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Whitehawk -10.2, Potters Bar Town -20.4.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Whitehawk
vs
Potters Bar Town
Elo gapWhitehawk +131
Home / draw / away56% / 18% / 26%
Expected home share68%
Combined Elo2776.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2776.3
Elo home share
68%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Whitehawk | Potters Bar Town |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1436.3 | 1340 |
| Form Elo | 1410 | 1320.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1486.4 | 1428.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1466.7 | 1385.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1412.2 | 1248.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -10.2 | -20.4 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Whitehawk last-5 Elo change: -10.2; Potters Bar Town last-5 Elo change: -20.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Whitehawk | Potters Bar Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 20% |
| Attack | 33% | 33% |
| Defense | 11% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Whitehawk | Potters Bar Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 20 | 21 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 41 |
| Wins | 35% | 24% | 29% | 29% | 15% | 22% |
| Draws | 40% | 19% | 29% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| Loses | 25% | 57% | 41% | 67% | 80% | 73% |
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Potters Bar TownLDLLDWLLLWLLLLLLLWLLLWLWLWLLWLLWLLLLWLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Whitehawk | Potters Bar Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 30 | 57 | 28 | 17 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 25 | 46 | 71 | 52 | 41 | 93 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Whitehawk | Potters Bar Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 80% | 66% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 59% | 34% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 24% | 10% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 2% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Whitehawk | Potters Bar Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
Penalties
| Metric | Whitehawk | Potters Bar Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Whitehawk | Potters Bar Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 3-5 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-6 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Whitehawk | Potters Bar Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 58.0% | 42.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.60 @ Betano
Draw4.33 @ Betfair
Away5.00 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Betano
No2.24 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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