Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Woodside Park
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.55)
1.89 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.2% | 22.5% | 50.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Bishop's Stortford | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barwell | 0 | 4.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Bishop's Stortford carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 100 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Barwell -32.7, Bishop's Stortford -7.0.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Barwell
vs
Bishop's Stortford
Elo gapBishop's Stortford +100
Home / draw / away29% / 19% / 52%
Expected home share36%
Combined Elo2817.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2817.1
Elo home share
36%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Barwell | Bishop's Stortford |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1340.9 | 1476.2 |
| Form Elo | 1304.9 | 1470.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1421.9 | 1487.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1445.3 | 1471.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1259.3 | 1457.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -32.7 | -7.0 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Barwell last-5 Elo change: -32.7; Bishop's Stortford last-5 Elo change: -7.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Barwell | Bishop's Stortford |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 20% |
| Attack | 21% | 16% |
| Defense | 26% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Barwell | Bishop's Stortford | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 20 | 21 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 41 |
| Wins | 25% | 14% | 20% | 43% | 20% | 32% |
| Draws | 15% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 40% | 24% |
| Loses | 60% | 62% | 61% | 48% | 40% | 44% |
BarwellWLLLWDLLWDDWLWLWDDDLLWDDLLLLLLWLLLLLLLLLL
Bishop's StortfordWWWWLLLWDWLLLLWDLDWDWLWDLLDLLWWLLLWDLDLDD
League goals
| Metric | Barwell | Bishop's Stortford | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 23 | 49 | 28 | 23 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 42 | 41 | 83 | 34 | 30 | 64 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Barwell | Bishop's Stortford | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 88% | 71% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 34% | 63% | 29% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 27% | 12% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 15% | 7% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 2% | 7% | 2% | 2% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Barwell | Bishop's Stortford | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Barwell | Bishop's Stortford |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Barwell | Bishop's Stortford |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 0-4 | 6-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-6 | 4-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Barwell | Bishop's Stortford |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.47 @ Betano
Draw3.85 @ Betano
Away2.35 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.44 @ Betano
No2.62 @ 1xBet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…