Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Keys Park
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.45)
0.52 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.7% | 24.1% | 11.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.1%
2 - 0
15.4%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Ashton United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hednesford Town | 0 | 11.9% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.1% | 9.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.4% | 8.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hednesford Town | Ashton United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 47% |
| Attack | 91% | 45% |
| Defense | 64% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hednesford Town | Ashton United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 19 | 20 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 39 |
| Wins | 68% | 45% | 56% | 40% | 32% | 36% |
| Draws | 26% | 25% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 26% |
| Loses | 5% | 30% | 18% | 35% | 42% | 38% |
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Ashton UnitedWDWLDWDDLLWWLLWLWLLWDDWLWLLWLDLDWDLWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Hednesford Town | Ashton United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 34 | 25 | 59 | 22 | 22 | 44 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 9 | 23 | 32 | 27 | 24 | 51 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hednesford Town | Ashton United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 54% | 72% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 15% | 33% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 8% | 8% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 3% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hednesford Town | Ashton United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 11 | 7 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hednesford Town | Ashton United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hednesford Town | Ashton United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-5 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-0 | 0-4 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hednesford Town | Ashton United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 37% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 66.8% | 33.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.36 @ Betfair
Draw5.20 @ Dafabet
Away10.00 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.95 @ Marathonbet
No1.75 @ William Hill
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League standings
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