Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Sportplatz Bühl
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.80)
2.74 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.8% | 14.8% | 68.3% |
best score tips
0 - 2
9.1%
1 - 2
8.9%
0 - 3
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Winterthur II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SV Schaffhausen | 0 | 2.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 2.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Winterthur II carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 81 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: SV Schaffhausen +22.1, Winterthur II +0.5.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
SV Schaffhausen
vs
Winterthur II
Elo gapWinterthur II +81
Home / draw / away31% / 21% / 48%
Expected home share39%
Combined Elo2839.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2839.6
Elo home share
39%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | SV Schaffhausen | Winterthur II |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1361.9 | 1477.7 |
| Form Elo | 1370.1 | 1473.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1412.5 | 1466.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1378.2 | 1633.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1117.4 | 1384.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +22.1 | +0.5 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. SV Schaffhausen last-5 Elo change: +22.1; Winterthur II last-5 Elo change: +0.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SV Schaffhausen | Winterthur II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 35% | 65% |
| Defense | 29% | 41% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SV Schaffhausen | Winterthur II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 8% | 17% | 13% | 42% | 17% | 29% |
| Draws | 8% | 25% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 83% | 58% | 71% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
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Winterthur IILDWWLWDLLWDDLWDDLLWWDLLD
League goals
| Metric | SV Schaffhausen | Winterthur II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 11 | 21 | 34 | 15 | 49 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 38 | 31 | 69 | 24 | 26 | 50 |
| GA avg | 3.2 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SV Schaffhausen | Winterthur II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 88% | 79% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 71% | 58% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 38% | 42% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 29% | 13% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 25% | 8% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SV Schaffhausen | Winterthur II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | SV Schaffhausen | Winterthur II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | SV Schaffhausen | Winterthur II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 7-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-7 | 7-0 | 0-3 | 6-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SV Schaffhausen | Winterthur II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 28% | 72% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 13% | 88% |
| Total | 35.8% | 64.4% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…