Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Silver Jubilee Park
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.73)
2.16 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.0% | 20.6% | 46.3% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.4%
1 - 1
7.7%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Egham Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hendon | 0 | 2.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Egham Town carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 86 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Hendon -23.4, Egham Town +14.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Hendon
vs
Egham Town
Elo gapEgham Town +86
Home / draw / away30% / 20% / 50%
Expected home share38%
Combined Elo3033.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3033.4
Elo home share
38%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Hendon | Egham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1456 | 1577.4 |
| Form Elo | 1454.9 | 1596.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1453.1 | 1531.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1584.7 | 1631.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1318.7 | 1503.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -23.4 | +14.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Hendon last-5 Elo change: -23.4; Egham Town last-5 Elo change: +14.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hendon | Egham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 60% |
| Attack | 14% | 36% |
| Defense | 59% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hendon | Egham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 21 | 20 | 41 | 19 | 17 | 36 |
| Wins | 29% | 35% | 32% | 37% | 41% | 39% |
| Draws | 33% | 15% | 24% | 37% | 35% | 36% |
| Loses | 38% | 50% | 44% | 26% | 24% | 25% |
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Egham TownLLDWDWDWLLDWLWDDLDDDLLWDWWWLWWWWDDWD
League goals
| Metric | Hendon | Egham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 45 | 32 | 77 | 39 | 28 | 67 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 43 | 40 | 83 | 31 | 24 | 55 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hendon | Egham Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 85% | 83% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 51% | 56% | 53% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 34% | 33% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 22% | 11% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 5% | 6% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hendon | Egham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hendon | Egham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hendon | Egham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-1 | 1-4 | 5-2 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 5-1 | 2-4 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 7 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hendon | Egham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 18% | 82% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 37.2% | 62.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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