Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
The John Jenkins Stadium
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.73)
1.84 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.3% | 21.8% | 38.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
8.0%
2 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Westfield (Surrey) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moneyfields | 0 | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Westfield (Surrey) carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 19 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Moneyfields +4.6, Westfield (Surrey) +40.6.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Moneyfields
vs
Westfield (Surrey)
Elo gapWestfield (Surrey) +19
Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%
Expected home share47%
Combined Elo3160.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3160.2
Elo home share
47%
Match tone
Must Watch
| Metric | Moneyfields | Westfield (Surrey) |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1552.9 | 1607.3 |
| Form Elo | 1549.6 | 1616.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1558 | 1543.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1687.3 | 1671.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1449.2 | 1493.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +4.6 | +40.6 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Moneyfields last-5 Elo change: +4.6; Westfield (Surrey) last-5 Elo change: +40.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moneyfields | Westfield (Surrey) |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 100% |
| Attack | 41% | 50% |
| Defense | 77% | 86% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moneyfields | Westfield (Surrey) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 19 | 20 | 39 | 20 | 16 | 36 |
| Wins | 68% | 45% | 56% | 70% | 69% | 69% |
| Draws | 5% | 20% | 13% | 10% | 13% | 11% |
| Loses | 26% | 35% | 31% | 20% | 19% | 19% |
MoneyfieldsWLDLDWLWWWWDWLLWWWWWWWLWDWLLWWLWLDWWWLL
Westfield (Surrey)LWLWWWWLWWWWWWDWWWLWWDWLWWWDDLLWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Moneyfields | Westfield (Surrey) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 45 | 38 | 83 | 52 | 34 | 86 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 25 | 35 | 60 | 25 | 21 | 46 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moneyfields | Westfield (Surrey) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 67% | 92% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 49% | 69% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 28% | 50% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 23% | 10% | 19% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moneyfields | Westfield (Surrey) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moneyfields | Westfield (Surrey) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moneyfields | Westfield (Surrey) |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-4 | 7-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moneyfields | Westfield (Surrey) |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 50.5% | 49.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…