Sagrada Esperança vs Luanda City

Girabola — Angola

Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 • Estádio Quintalão

Not Started

home	draw	away
60.3%	21.2%	16.9%

		Luanda City
Sagrada Esperança	0	5.5%	5.1%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
1	10.9%	10.0%	4.6%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%
2	10.7%	9.9%	4.6%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%
3	7.1%	6.5%	3.0%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
4	3.5%	3.2%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
5	1.4%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

Home edge

Sagrada Esperança carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 60 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Sagrada Esperança -46.7, Luanda City -0.1.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone

Sagrada Esperança Elo 1490.5 · -46.7

Luanda City Elo 1465.3 · -0.1

Elo gapSagrada Esperança +60

Home / draw / away45% / 23% / 32%

Expected home share59%

Combined Elo2955.8

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Home edge

Confidence band Medium confidence

Upset risk Medium

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2955.8

Elo home share 59%

Match tone Tactical Watch

Metric	Sagrada Esperança	Luanda City
Overall Elo	1490.5	1465.3
Form Elo	1462.1	1473.5
Home / Away Elo	1519.4	1457.9
Attack Elo	1473.7	1379.2
Defense Elo	1521.3	1436.2
Last 5 Elo change	-46.7	-0.1

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Sagrada Esperança last-5 Elo change: -46.7; Luanda City last-5 Elo change: -0.1.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Sagrada Esperança	Luanda City
Played	5	5
Form	7%	67%
Attack	80%	100%
Defense	0%	40%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	3 \| 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%

FT probability

2.5+

50%

FT probability

3.5+

35%

FT probability

BTTS

67%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Sagrada Esperança			Luanda City
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	14	12	26	12	11	23
Wins	36%	17%	27%	50%	27%	39%
Draws	43%	25%	35%	25%	18%	22%
Loses	21%	58%	38%	25%	55%	39%

Sagrada EsperançaDDDDLDWWLDLWWWLWLLDWDDLLLL

Luanda CityLDLDWLWLLWLWLLDWDWDLWWW

League goals

Metric	Sagrada Esperança			Luanda City
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	21	12	33	12	8	20
GF avg	1.5	1.0	1.3	1.0	0.7	0.9
GA total	16	22	38	16	16	32
GA avg	1.1	1.8	1.5	1.3	1.5	1.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Sagrada Esperança		Luanda City
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	73%	81%	65%	70%
1.5	31%	35%	17%	22%
2.5	15%	23%	4%	17%
3.5	4%	8%	0%	13%
4.5	4%	0%	0%	13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Sagrada Esperança			Luanda City
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	2	5	6	1	7
Failed to score	5	2	7	2	6	8

Penalties

Metric	Sagrada Esperança	Luanda City
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Sagrada Esperança	Luanda City
Wins	3	1
Draws	4	1
Losses	2	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	5-1	1-3	2-0	1-3
Biggest losses	0-3	4-1	0-5	6-0
Goals For	5	3	2	3
Goals Against	3	4	5	6

Model comparison

Metric	Sagrada Esperança	Luanda City
Form	9%	91%
Att	44%	56%
Def	25%	75%
Poisson Distribution	67%	33%
H2h	88%	13%
Goals	70%	30%
Total	50.5%	49.7%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Sagrada Esperança vs Luanda City

Metric	Sagrada Esperança	Luanda City
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Sagrada Esperança vs Luanda City