Non League Div One - Northern East — England
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 • Ingfield Stadium
Not Started

Ossett United

—

Bradford (Park Avenue)

Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.37) 1.52 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.4% 25.9% 54.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.1%
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 2
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Bradford (Park Avenue)
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ossett United 0 9.9% 15.1% 11.5% 5.8% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.8% 11.9% 9.1% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5%
2 3.1% 4.7% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away strong edge

Bradford (Park Avenue) carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 129 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Ossett United -2.9, Bradford (Park Avenue) +27.9.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Ossett United Elo 1384.5 · -2.9
vs
Bradford (Park Avenue) Elo 1548.9 · +27.9
Elo gapBradford (Park Avenue) +129
Home / draw / away26% / 18% / 56%
Expected home share32%
Combined Elo2933.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2933.4
Elo home share 32%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Ossett United Bradford (Park Avenue)
Overall Elo1384.51548.9
Form Elo13771564.2
Home / Away Elo1441.71505.1
Attack Elo1421.91618.9
Defense Elo1471.31557.8
Last 5 Elo change-2.9+27.9

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Ossett United last-5 Elo change: -2.9; Bradford (Park Avenue) last-5 Elo change: +27.9.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOssett UnitedBradford (Park Avenue)
Played55
Form27%80%
Attack38%81%
Defense63%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ossett United Bradford (Park Avenue)
HATHAT
Played222143201939
Wins23%19%21%55%42%49%
Draws36%29%33%30%32%31%
Loses41%52%47%15%26%21%
Ossett UnitedLDWLLDDDLDWWDLDWWLDLLLWWLLLDLLWDDDLLLDLLDLW
Bradford (Park Avenue)DDDWWWDWWDWLWDDWLLDWWDLLWWDDWLWWLDWLWWW

League goals

Metric Ossett United Bradford (Park Avenue)
HATHAT
GF total262450352762
GF avg1.21.11.21.81.41.6
GA total303464141731
GA avg1.41.61.50.70.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOssett UnitedBradford (Park Avenue)
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%77%77%51%
1.537%42%46%18%
2.59%21%21%8%
3.50%5%5%3%
4.50%2%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOssett UnitedBradford (Park Avenue)
HATHAT
Clean sheets641010919
Failed to score6713459

Penalties

MetricOssett UnitedBradford (Park Avenue)
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricOssett UnitedBradford (Park Avenue)
Wins23
Draws33
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-38-00-4
Biggest losses0-64-12-34-1
Goals For3384
Goals Against6434

Model comparison

MetricOssett UnitedBradford (Park Avenue)
Form25%75%
Att32%68%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h60%40%
Goals57%43%
Total38.5%61.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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